Publications

You can also find my articles on my Google Scholar profile.

Working Papers

Inference on Counterfactual Distributions using Martingale Posteriors
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
[arXiv] [Code]
Scalable Multivariate Martingale Posteriors
Gregor Steiner, David Huk, Mark Steel
The 9th Workshop on Tractable Probabilistic Modeling @ UAI 2026
[OpenReview] [Code]

Possibilistic Instrumental Variable Regression with Potentially Invalid Instruments
Gregor Steiner, Jeremie Houssineau, Mark Steel
Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 337:6537–6553, 2026
[Proceedings] [arXiv] [Code]
Bayesian Model Averaging in Causal Instrumental Variable Models
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 41(5):669–683, 2026
[Journal] [arXiv] [Code] [Julia package]

Contribution to the Discussion of ‘Parameterizing and Simulating from Causal Models’ by Evans and Didelez
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, 86(3):580–582, 2024
[Journal] [Code]